{"id":2545,"date":"2020-02-27T08:13:01","date_gmt":"2020-02-27T08:13:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/tvtinvest.com\/?p=2545"},"modified":"2020-02-27T08:35:15","modified_gmt":"2020-02-27T08:35:15","slug":"nha-dau-tu-ed-seykota-va-nhung-loi-khuyen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/tvtinvest.com\/?p=2545","title":{"rendered":"NH\u00c0 \u0110\u1ea6U T\u01af ED SEYKOTA V\u00c0 NH\u1eeeNG L\u1edcI KHUY\u00caN"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Edward Arthur Seykota<\/strong> (sinh ng\u00e0y 7 th\u00e1ng 8, 1946 t\u1ea1i Nevada M\u1ef9) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u00e2u n\u0103m tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi bi\u1ebft t\u1edbi l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u00e0i ba th\u1ebf h\u1ec7 m\u1edbi v\u1edbi th\u00e0nh t\u00edch t\u1ea1o ra t\u1ef7 su\u1ea5t sinh l\u1ee3i 250.000% trong 16 n\u0103m kinh nghi\u1ec7m. T\u00e0i n\u0103ng c\u1ee7a Seykota c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u00e1nh vai v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng si\u00eau sao th\u1ebf h\u1ec7 tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u01b0 Warren Buffet v\u00e0 George Soros. L\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, Ed Seykota l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng huy\u1ec1n tho\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1eddi sau. \u00d4ng l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho h\u00ecnh m\u1eabu trader trang b\u1ecb k\u0129 v\u1ec1 c\u1ea3 th\u00f4ng tin v\u00e0 tr\u00ed th\u1ee9c (c\u00f3 b\u1eb1ng k\u1ef9 s\u01b0 \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed t\u1ea1i MIT) v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u00e1p giao d\u1ecbch Trend Following kh\u00e1 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n, d\u1ec5 hi\u1ec3u.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cho t\u1edbi th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u00f4ng v\u1eabn lu\u00f4n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00e0i n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt trong ph\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ee9c giao d\u1ecbch “nhanh nh\u1ea1y” v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch xem l\u00e0 th\u1ea7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng. Phong c\u00e1ch giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf h\u1ec7 tr\u1ebb tr\u00ean ph\u1ed1 Wall. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, b\u1eadc th\u1ea7y c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang ta c\u0169ng l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi r\u1ea5t tin v\u00e0o hai ch\u1eef “nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc<\/strong><\/em>“. M\u1ecdi vi\u1ec7c \u00f4ng l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ec1u d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean k\u1ec9 lu\u1eadt giao d\u1ecbch nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t m\u00e0 b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n \u00f4ng t\u1ef1 v\u1ea1ch ra cho m\u00ecnh. Ch\u00ednh b\u1edfi v\u1eady m\u00e0 \u00f4ng gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00ecnh t\u0129nh ngay c\u1ea3 khi m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 di\u1ec5n ra kh\u00f4ng nh\u01b0 \u00fd ban \u0111\u1ea7u.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

C\u00e2u n\u00f3i n\u1ed5i ti\u1ebfng c\u1ee7a Ed Seykota kh\u00e1 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 “C\u00f3 ki\u1ec3u nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 gi\u00e0 d\u1eb7n (old trader) v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3u nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u00e1o b\u1ea1o (bold trader), nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 r\u1ea5t \u00edt nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u1ea1i v\u1eeba gi\u00e0 d\u1eb7n v\u1eeba t\u00e1o b\u1ea1o”<\/em> \u00d4ng c\u0169ng cho hay kinh nghi\u1ec7m v\u00e0 m\u00e1u li\u1ec1u l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng<\/em><\/strong>. D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 5 l\u1eddi khuy\u00ean \u0111\u00fac k\u1ebft t\u1eeb kinh nghi\u1ec7m c\u1ee7a b\u1eadc th\u1ea7y d\u00e0nh cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u1ea1i ch\u00fang mong mu\u1ed1n th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng (theo ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n tr\u00ean b\u1ea3n tin t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a CNN)<\/span><\/p>\n

1. H\u1ecdc thu\u1ed9c l\u00f2ng 4 quy t\u1eafc sinh t\u1ed3n Ed Seykota \u0111\u00fac k\u1ebft trong \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bao g\u1ed3m l\u00e0: (1) C\u1eaft l\u1ed7, (2) Gi\u1eef c\u00e1c giao d\u1ecbch l\u00e3i. (3) \u0110\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1ecf. (4) Tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i ho\u00e0i nghi v\u00e0 (5) bi\u1ebft khi n\u00e0o n\u00ean ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 c\u00e1c quy t\u1eafc<\/em>.<\/span><\/p>\n

2. R\u1ee7i ro l\u00e0 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a kho\u1ea3n l\u1ed7<\/strong>. N\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c r\u1ee7i ro l\u00e0 bao nhi\u00eau, n\u00f3 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro n\u1eefa.<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

3. N\u1ebfu b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3n l\u1ed7 nh\u1ecf, s\u1edbm hay mu\u1ed9n b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i g\u1eb7p m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3n thua l\u1ed7 r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn<\/em><\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u1edbi m\u1ed7i l\u1ec7nh mua, Seykota lu\u00f4n bi\u1ebft ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 c\u1eaft l\u1ed7 n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng theo \u0111\u00fang k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch. \u00d4ng \u0111\u1ecbnh ngh\u0129a m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 n\u00e0y m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi giao d\u1ecbch. H\u1ea7u h\u1ebft \u00f4ng kh\u00f4ng t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn m\u00e0 t\u1eadp trung ban \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh r\u1ee7i ro. Ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u00e2m “h\u00e3y ngh\u0129 \u0111\u1ebfn r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean” c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a m\u1ed7i nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ph\u1ea3i hi\u1ec3u r\u00f5 r\u1ee7i ro cho m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 h\u00e3y chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb t\u00e2m th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i di\u1ec7n v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u t\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eebng nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra<\/strong>.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

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N\u1ebfu mong mu\u1ed1n m\u1ed9t mu\u1ed1n t\u1ef7 su\u1ea5t sinh l\u1ee3i l\u1edbn khi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu, h\u00e3y xem x\u00e9t m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ee7i ro b\u1ea1n s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng g\u00e1nh ch\u1ecbu, v\u00e0 c\u00f3 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u00f3ng l\u1ec7nh (exit) x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eb1m b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n tr\u00e1nh g\u1eb7p ph\u1ea3i nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n l\u1ed7 l\u1edbn. N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng, cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 l\u1ea1i cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn ho\u1eb7c to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u0111\u00e3 ki\u1ebfm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. Th\u1eadm ch\u00ed, v\u1eabn c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 may m\u1eafn n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 c\u00f2n gi\u1eef l\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee9c t\u1ef7 su\u1ea5t sinh l\u1ee3i trung b\u00ecnh tr\u00ean t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n.<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\u00d4ng lu\u00f4n c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng x\u1eed l\u00fd chu\u1ed7i thua l\u1ed7 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i m\u1edbi an to\u00e0n h\u01a1n. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Seykota, vi\u1ec7c c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng giao d\u1ecbch trong khi \u0111ang r\u01a1i v\u00e0o chu\u1ed7i thua l\u1ed7 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u1ea3m x\u00fac \u0111au \u0111\u1edbn. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tr\u1ea3 gi\u00e1 r\u1ea5t \u0111\u1eaft. M\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1ecf v\u00e0 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m m\u1ee9c r\u1ee7i ro trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n g\u1eb7p ph\u1ea3i s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t (equity drawdown). \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n tr\u1edf n\u00ean tho\u1ea3i m\u00e1i h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 c\u1ea3 c\u1ea3m x\u00fac v\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh<\/em>.<\/span><\/p>\n

4. Giao d\u1ecbch t\u1eebng ph\u1ea7n t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Th\u01b0\u1eddng th\u00ec ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 bi\u1ebft ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c \u0111\u00e2u l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1y, hay ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c \u0111\u00e2u l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec9nh, n\u00ean khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch t\u1eebng ph\u1ea7n t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n v\u1eabn an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 sinh l\u1eddi.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 kinh nghi\u1ec7m giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, h\u1ecd s\u1ebd quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u00e1n 1\/3 t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1, 1\/3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u00e1n ra theo c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, v\u00e0 1\/3 c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1n h\u1ebft khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh m\u1ea5t 8% so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec9nh t\u1ea1o ra<\/em><\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng \u0111i\u1ec3m<\/strong> v\u00e0 v\u01b0\u1ee3t kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1, th\u00ec 2\/3 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec, 1\/3 ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t b\u00e1n ra s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00f9ng v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u01b0\u1edbt s\u00f3ng T+ v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu c\u00f2n c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/em><\/strong>. V\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro sai c\u00f3 x\u1ea3y ra, th\u00ec ph\u1ea7n thua l\u1ed7 b\u1edfi 1\/3 t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n g\u00e2y ra c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ebfn ph\u1ea7n l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/span><\/p>\n

5. H\u00e3y h\u1ecdc c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ecdc \u0111\u1ed3 th\u1ecb v\u00e0 nh\u1eadn ra c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n gi\u00e1 t\u1ed1t v\u00e0 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m mua th\u00edch h\u1ee3p<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n

S\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed3 th\u1ecb ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 tu\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ecdn l\u1ef1a c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/em>. Mua c\u00e1c c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu n\u00e0o t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec3m breakout (ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1) \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean tho\u00e1t ra kh\u1ecfi c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n gi\u00e1 t\u1ed1t v\u1edbi kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao h\u01a1n 50% (ho\u1eb7c h\u01a1n) so v\u1edbi kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/span><\/p>\n

S\u01afU T\u1ea6M<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Edward Arthur Seykota (sinh ng\u00e0y 7 th\u00e1ng 8, 1946 t\u1ea1i Nevada M\u1ef9) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u00e2u n\u0103m tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi bi\u1ebft t\u1edbi l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u00e0i ba th\u1ebf h\u1ec7 m\u1edbi v\u1edbi th\u00e0nh t\u00edch t\u1ea1o ra t\u1ef7 su\u1ea5t sinh l\u1ee3i 250.000% trong 16 n\u0103m kinh nghi\u1ec7m. T\u00e0i n\u0103ng c\u1ee7a Seykota c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u00e1nh vai v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng si\u00eau sao […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[31],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/tvtinvest.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2545"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/tvtinvest.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/tvtinvest.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/tvtinvest.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/tvtinvest.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2545"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/tvtinvest.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2545\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2548,"href":"http:\/\/tvtinvest.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2545\/revisions\/2548"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/tvtinvest.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2545"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/tvtinvest.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2545"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/tvtinvest.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2545"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}